Looking at market trends for the price of farm commodities when compared to a year ago does not make for particularly happy reading. The Farmers Weekly magazine publishes these figures each week and when compared to the prices achieved a year ago most commodities are significantly down.
I have written about beef prices before which have fallen sharply. The price quoted in the Farmers Weekly for last week was 345p per Kg deadweight which is down 50p per Kg on the price achieved this time last year although in this area I am reliably informed that one would struggle to achieve 325p per kg in this area. This indicates that the price being achieved for beef across the country varies significantly and we do not seem to be well placed in this area to achieve the highest prices.
These low prices have stimulated the Farmers For Action (FFA) group to launch protests at meat processing plants in the Midlands where there is concern about the amount of Polish beef being imported and processed in this country.
However, it is not only beef which has seen prices fall in the last year. Arable crops have also dropped sharply in value with Winter Wheat down from £180/tonne to £147/tonne and oilseed rape down from £380/tonne to £268/tonne. At today’s prices, profit margins for arable farmers are likely to be squeezed hard although on the reverse side of this particular coin, this should mean the cost of cereal based feed stuffs for livestock will fall.
In contrast lamb prices have remained steady while milk prices are well ahead of those being achieved this time last year but the trend in milk price is now distinctly downwards as the industry is hit by a number of milk purchasers cutting their farmgate milk prices.
For example, Dairy Crest has cut its liquid milk price by 1.25p/litre from July and Arla has dropped it direct-supplier price by 1.5p/litre. Similarly, earlier last week First Milk reduced its manufacturing contract price by 1.15p/litre.
All these price cuts have come on the back of falling world dairy commodity prices where Fonterra’s Global Trade Auction saw prices fall by 4.2% on 3rd June which is the eighth drop in a row for these auctions. Having said that, cheddar cheese prices rose by 8% and skimmed milk powder by 2.1% and so although milk prices are falling sharply at present there is hope they will stabilise and not fall to the desperately low prices which were witnessed two years ago which forced farmers to take direct action, blockading milk processing plants across the country including here in Somerset.
So what can we read in to all these “tea leaves” – well probably not a great deal other than the fact that markets do go up and down and farmers are exposed to the vaguaries of world markets now more than they have been at any time since the end of the Second World War. Therefore in order to survive, successful farmers will always need to keep their costs under control so as to make money in the good times and survive the hard times because market volatility is most definitely here to stay.
I have written about beef prices before which have fallen sharply. The price quoted in the Farmers Weekly for last week was 345p per Kg deadweight which is down 50p per Kg on the price achieved this time last year although in this area I am reliably informed that one would struggle to achieve 325p per kg in this area. This indicates that the price being achieved for beef across the country varies significantly and we do not seem to be well placed in this area to achieve the highest prices.
These low prices have stimulated the Farmers For Action (FFA) group to launch protests at meat processing plants in the Midlands where there is concern about the amount of Polish beef being imported and processed in this country.
However, it is not only beef which has seen prices fall in the last year. Arable crops have also dropped sharply in value with Winter Wheat down from £180/tonne to £147/tonne and oilseed rape down from £380/tonne to £268/tonne. At today’s prices, profit margins for arable farmers are likely to be squeezed hard although on the reverse side of this particular coin, this should mean the cost of cereal based feed stuffs for livestock will fall.
In contrast lamb prices have remained steady while milk prices are well ahead of those being achieved this time last year but the trend in milk price is now distinctly downwards as the industry is hit by a number of milk purchasers cutting their farmgate milk prices.
For example, Dairy Crest has cut its liquid milk price by 1.25p/litre from July and Arla has dropped it direct-supplier price by 1.5p/litre. Similarly, earlier last week First Milk reduced its manufacturing contract price by 1.15p/litre.
All these price cuts have come on the back of falling world dairy commodity prices where Fonterra’s Global Trade Auction saw prices fall by 4.2% on 3rd June which is the eighth drop in a row for these auctions. Having said that, cheddar cheese prices rose by 8% and skimmed milk powder by 2.1% and so although milk prices are falling sharply at present there is hope they will stabilise and not fall to the desperately low prices which were witnessed two years ago which forced farmers to take direct action, blockading milk processing plants across the country including here in Somerset.
So what can we read in to all these “tea leaves” – well probably not a great deal other than the fact that markets do go up and down and farmers are exposed to the vaguaries of world markets now more than they have been at any time since the end of the Second World War. Therefore in order to survive, successful farmers will always need to keep their costs under control so as to make money in the good times and survive the hard times because market volatility is most definitely here to stay.
James Stephen MRICS FAAV
Partner
Rural Practice Chartered Surveyor, Wells
T: 01749 683381
E: james.stephen@carterjonas.co.uk
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